http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281 Sun, 05 Jul 2009 01:40 EDT Sun, 05 Jul 2009 01:40 EDT Zorpia.com http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913029 <p><span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><font size="4"><strong>陳俊偉 Felix Chan</strong></font></span></span></span></p> <p><span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">華富嘉洛財富管理有限公司</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">-</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">聯席總監</span></span></span></p> <p><span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">作者主要從事週期性研究、國際及本港市場走勢分析的工作。<br />深信萬物皆循環，升跌前必定有先機。曾獲取</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">“</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">青姐徒弟真人</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">SHOW “</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">總冠軍，<br />成為新一代股評人。作者為證監會持牌人，<span style="FONT-FAMILY: Times New Roman">為為客戶提供資產管理、基金管理及保險顧問。</span></span></span></span></p> <p><span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">作者電郵/MSN</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman"> : </font></span></span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><a href="mailto:felixchan@bgam.com.hk"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><font face="Times New Roman">felixchan@bgam.com.hk</font></span></a><br /><br /><span style="FONT-SIZE: small"><span><span style="COLOR: #000080"><strong>2009年 - 市場報告<br /><br /></strong><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><a href="http://zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1889795#add_comment" target="_blank"><font face="Comic Sans MS">2009年3月20日</font><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS">展望<span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS">港股</span></span> 年尾重上18000以上</span></span></a></span></span><br /><br /><a href="http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1864484#add_comment" target="_blank"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS">牛市一期的特徵</span></span></span></a><br /><br /><span class="submenu"><a href="http://bgam.com.hk/economicdigest.php?category=1" target="_blank"><span class="submenu">經濟一週 - </span>觀圖論股</a></span></span></span></span></span></p> <p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: small"><span><span style="COLOR: #000080"><span class="submenu"><img style="WIDTH: 250px; HEIGHT: 200px" height="200" hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/attachments/Image/280012(1).jpg" width="250" align="baseline" border="0" />       <img style="WIDTH: 255px; HEIGHT: 198px" height="198" hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/attachments/Image/280018(1).jpg" width="255" align="baseline" border="0" /></span></span></span></span></span></p> <p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt"><span style="FONT-SIZE: small"><span><span style="COLOR: #000080"><span class="submenu"><span style="FONT-SIZE: small"><span><strong><span style="COLOR: #000080">2008年 - 市場報告<br /></span></strong></span></span><br /><a href="http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1766065" target="_blank"><font size="2"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><span style="COLOR: #333333">2008<span>年</span>1<span>月</span>22<span>日股災前的預言</span></span></span></span></span><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Tahoma"> </font></span></span></span></font></a><br /><br /><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1782418/" target="_blank"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><font size="2">2008<span>年</span>3<span>月</span>18<span>日股災前的預言</span></font></span></a></span></span></span><br /><br /><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1784371" target="_blank"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><font size="2">2008<span>年</span>3<span>月</span>18<span>日見底預言反彈到</span>26000<span>點</span></font></span></a><br /><br /><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://hk.responses.zorpia.com/group/imoney/forum/298615" target="_blank"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><font size="2">2008<span>年</span>5<span>月</span>4<span>日熊市第三期</span></font></span></a><br /><br /><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1817965" target="_blank"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><font size="2"><span>預言</span>08<span>年</span>10<span>月見熊三低位最小</span>16500</font></span></a><br /><br /><a href="http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1827691" target="_blank"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><font size="2">2008<span>年</span>8<span>月</span>12<span>日清倉最後機會</span> - (<span>下半年重災區中資金融股及005匯豐</span>)</font></span></span></span></span></a><br /><br /><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span><span><span><span style="COLOR: #333333"><a href="http://www.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1858950" target="_blank"><span><span style="FONT-SIZE: x-small"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Comic Sans MS"><span lang="EN-US"><span style="COLOR: #333333">2008<span>年</span>11<span>月</span>27</span></span></span></span><span><u>日</u></span><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span>金融海嘯論壇</span> – <span>放棄投資將成輸家</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="COLOR: #333333"><span><span><font size="2"> </font></span></span></span></a><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913029 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:39 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913028 <table style="WIDTH: 100%" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"> <tbody> <tr> <td class="pageContent" name="SB_stretch"><strong><span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: small">"羊群心理"、"罪魁禍首"</span></span></strong><span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: small"><br /><br /><strong>這一次金融海嘯不單是金錢損失，更重要卷走了無數人對金融產品投資的信心。如 "I Kill You Later"及ELI 其實在2003年沙士時期是大户賺錢的工具，因經濟低沉未見復甦，90%投資者料大市 L型走勢，對後市極度悲觀，因此如有產品能提供高息回報及20%氣墊保障，故加強了投資者的入市信有何不好呢? 但當人人在某工具賺大錢，便產生羊群心理，這才是罪魁禍首！</strong></span></span></td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913028 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:33 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913027 <span style="COLOR: #000000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: small">在投資路上主要分為基本分析及技術分析兩派，但自從2007年衍生工具成交超越全球，市場的價格走勢再不能單靠公司財務業績、行業前景及買賣成交變化等因素分析趨勢。因此BGAM建立團隊，放眼究研分析環球資產走勢，市場行為心理，價格與時間等關係因素，讓基金團隊能及早提防股災的來臨，在牛市中旗開得勝。<br /><br />現時市場70%資金來自基金，抱括各國的強積金、國際基金、私募基金、對沖基金不等。當中強積金及月供基金的金額佔大部份，但市場欠缺基金管理等團隊，因此小弟除了考取証券交易牌照及保險牌照，還有資產管理牌，好讓提供更全面的理財服務。<br /></span></span> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913027 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:32 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913022 <p><font size="4"><font face="Tahoma" color="#ff6600" size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><strong>耐性 + 時間  ( 克服市場起跌 ) = 致勝之道</strong></span></font></font></p> <p> </p><font size="2"><font face="Tahoma"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><font color="#800000"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: gray; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"> <p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">恆生指數在過去</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Tahoma">30</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">年都是升比跌多，而且升幅亦比跌幅大。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">即使要計算連續跌市超過一年的次數，</span></p> <p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">連跌兩年的情況出現過</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Tahoma">3</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">次，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">最多亦只是出現過一次連續</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Tahoma">3</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">年都跌市。</span></p> <p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">故此，長時間持有根本是無往而不利，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體">怕的只是投資者不夠耐性而已。</span></p> <p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/attachments/Image/HSIUD.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /></span></p> <p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><strong><font color="#ff6600">股市升勢往往比經濟復甦快一年多</font></strong></span></span></p> <p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 新細明體"><strong><font color="#ff6600"><img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/attachments/Image/HSIvsEC.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /></font></strong></span></span></p> <p> </p></span></font></span></font></font> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913022 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:17 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913021 <img style="WIDTH: 650px; HEIGHT: 857px" height="857" hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/0878c2b2f0f06e93e6a1770a196d7b28.jpg" width="650" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913021 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:15 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913020 <p><img style="WIDTH: 602px; HEIGHT: 246px" height="246" hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/f6e4e59bef721c49d95f8c23325fb94e.jpg" width="602" align="baseline" border="0" /><a href="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/f6e4e59bef721c49d95f8c23325fb94e.jpg"></a></p> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913020 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:13 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913019 <img style="WIDTH: 586px; HEIGHT: 265px" height="265" hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/0f79bb0112a7adea18d0d31555ca4488.jpg" width="586" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913019 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:10 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913016 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/2fa1345e59122b28db0993ad95a32296.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913016 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:07 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913015 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/a1044a4f62e0d2fa85a5aa438d538672.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913015 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:06 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913014 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/b691439dbac647f3a96cbc6d7e2af760.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913014 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:05 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913013 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/d4c9f82ab645b8e2120693299426fe2c.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913013 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:04 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913012 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/1b2103aebd28c0bb8558b662ca3f2366.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913012 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:03 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913011 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/0659c675c3cc2a7056acd016df28873d.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913011 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:01 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913010 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/68d9a96262a2b701382b77c210076a80.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913010 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 14:00 EDT http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913009 <img hspace="0" src="http://bgam.com.hk/data/storage/attachments/4cd297bccf8205ade54061380f75c01e.jpg" align="baseline" border="0" /> Personal http://hk.zorpia.com/felixchan1281/journal/1913009 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 13:59 EDT